Story thread · 2 reports / 2 sources

Democrat Sweep Odds Just Hit a Record 60%. History Says This Is Exactly When Midterm-Year Stock Drawdowns Happen.

247wallst.com · 1d · first reportShare

Although Wall Street entered September with the benchmark S&P 500 sitting on a double-digit year-to-date gain, the pricing on political prediction markets has quietly shifted into territory that historically coincides with the choppiest stretch of the four-year calendar. Polymarket’s Balance of Power 2026 Midterms contract showed Democratic sweep odds at a record 60%, per The […]