Story thread · 3 reports / 3 sources

How have interest rate expectations changed after last week's events?

investinglive.com · 22hShare

Rate hikes by year-end BoE: 51 bps (57% probability of no change at the next meeting) 2027: 111 bps Fed: 50 bps (87% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 91 bps BoJ: 43 bps (76% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 111 bps RBA: 38 bps (85% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 61 bps BoC: 38 bps (58% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 132 bps ECB: 37 bps (62% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 82 bps RBNZ: 35 bps (54% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 119 bps SNB: 13 bps (88% probability of no change at the next meeting) 2027: 77 bps Last week's market pricing here . The 2027 pricing indicates the total amount of tigthening expected by the end of 2027, not how much is expected in 2027 alone. Rate markets saw a broad hawkish repricing last week, with expectations for rate hikes rising across all major central banks. The main catalyst was the surge in oil prices above the psychologically impor

First report: Bill Dudley Expects Fed to Raise Rate by 25 Bps — bloomberg.com, 3d