Story thread · 3 reports / 3 sources

How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events?

investinglive.com · 10dShare

Rate hikes by year-end ECB: 46 bps (99% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 73 bps BoJ: 42 bps (75% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 111 bps Fed: 33 bps (50% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 46 bps RBA: 30 bps (69% probability of rate hike at the next meeting) 2027: 32 bps BoE: 26 bps (91% probability of no change at the next meeting) 2027: 66 bps BoC: 26 bps (67% probability of no change at the next meeting) 2027: 99 bps RBNZ: 25 bps (76% probability of no change at the next meeting) 2027: 86 bps SNB: 5 bps (99% probability of no change at the next meeting) 2027: 44 bps Last week's market pricing here The 2027 pricing indicates the total amount of tigthening expected by the end of 2027, not how much is expected in 2027 alone. The most notable shifts in market pricing happened on the RBNZ, BoC and the Fed side. The RBNZ raised interest rates by 25 bps as expected but the statement contained less hawkish language , and the new OCR pr

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